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Economy blogs
Understanding the financial crisis Print E-mail
Written by Philip Salter   
Monday, 17 November 2008

Here is a good beginners' guide to the financial crisis, courtesy of AfricanLiberty.org:

Hat-tip to The Independent Institute.

 
Is stability our goal? Print E-mail
Written by Tim Worstall   
Sunday, 16 November 2008

To listen to some commentators these days you would think that stability is indeed our goal. Almost a steady state society, one in which things rarely if ever change. We should deliberately curb innovation for example, for this brings with it such unwanted disruption to our stable and (implied rather than ever provenly so) happy society.

This is however, at least I think so, profoundly mistaken:

Foresight and planning were destined to play an ever-increasing role in human affairs, and a readiness to take risks in the hope of a profit in the more or less distant future is a distinctive mark of more advanced humanity.

That's two archaeology professors writing 40 years ago (on the subject of flint knapping actually) and if they can understand one of the basic things which makes us homo sapiens sapiens then why can't the economic and social commentators of our own day understand the point?

That taking risks in the hope of future profit is innovation: markets, amongst other things that they are, are the method we use to sort through which of such innovations satisfy some human desire and thus profit their developers.

Why on earth would we want to constrain one of the very things which makes us human? To deliberately restrain innovation, to attempt to enforce stability, would be doing exactly that.

So no, we cannot say that stability is our goal and we should thus be profoundly suspicious of those who claim that it is or who try to enforce it upon us.

 
Sir Bob Geldof Print E-mail
Written by Tim Worstall   
Saturday, 15 November 2008

Sir Bob Geldof, a good businessman, he's done sterling work in raising money to alleviate famine and poverty and I even liked one or two of the songs he wrote and sang. But there's still some work to be done in informing him how the world works. On the Tobin Tax:

This levy, even if it is cut to 0.005 per cent would limit volatility in small economies whilst generating enormous sums for the poor. It would also cost taxpayers nothing.

That's so amazing as to be fantastical. A tax which raises billions and trillions yet doesn't cost the people who pay the tax, the taxpayers, anything? I have a feeling that our gentil and parfait knight is a tad confused here, for such a thing is not possible.

Second, we need to institutionalise the means by which profits from carbon trading can be channelled to development. As Germany has already shown, this is a vast market. It involves creating incentives for polluters to pollute less while generating resources for development. It is a smart, painless way to create revenues and jobs while bringing the poor into the global economy. A Europe-wide scheme is planned, but in Washington it should be seized upon as an effective mechanism for growth and development. It, like the Tobin tax, is tax neutral to the consumer while curbing overproduction of carbon dioxide and helping the world’s poorest.

Again, there's a desperate confusion of ideas here. Certainly cap and trade (or a carbon tax) would generate funds. It is also possible that those funds could be used to pay for development. But if you use those funds to pay for development you cannot then state that it is tax neutral to the consumer. If you take $x squiddley billion from the taxpayers of the industrialised countries to send to Africa then $x squiddely billions are being sent from the taxpayers of the industrialised countries to Africa. It matters not whether you get it from income tax, from a carbon tax, from the auction of permits, it simply isn't tax neutral for you've just taken $x squiddely billions from those taxpayers.

The only way such schemes can be tax neutral is if other taxes are reduced by whatever amount is being raised: in which case there are no resources being generated to pay for development. Still, he is at least (partially) sound on trade:

Third, this new round of globalisation must not be accompanied by a return to protectionism. Make Poverty History called for progress on debt, aid and trade. Trade is the area in which the least has been delivered.

Quite, voluntary exchange is how wealth is created, let's get on with it, shall we?

 
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Words of wisdom

"There is no art which one government sooner learns of another than that of draining money from the pockets of the people."

The Wealth of Nations, Book V Chapter II Pt II

 

"What improves the circumstances of the greater part can never be regarded as an inconveniency to the whole. No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater part of the members are poor and miserable."

The Wealth of Nations, Book I Chapter VIII


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